Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -78% / -78%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -100%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) squeezed past Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 19%, draw 25%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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