Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Mar 2024

Cerezo Osaka (K)
0-2 HT 0-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Japan - WE League Women's – 2023/2024

Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerezo Osaka (K) v Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) beat Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 29%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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