Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+34% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 52% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 48%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 0.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 49%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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