Nojima Stella (K) 2-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 17 Nov 2024

Nojima Stella (K)
2-2 HT 2-1
AS Elfen Saitama (K)
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Nojima Stella (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nojima Stella (K) v AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.68
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Nojima Stella (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
10.03.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL

Nojima Stella (K) 2-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
2-2
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) and AS Elfen Saitama (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 49% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 51%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 1.50 for AS Elfen Saitama (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 2-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Elfen Saitama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 33%, draw 31%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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