Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
2.75
6+ Goals
7%
7.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
2.44/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.75
+24% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ards FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-5 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
15.03.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
30.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
24.02.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
18.11.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-3 HT 0-3 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Harland & Wolff Welders vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC nicked a narrow win over Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Harland & Wolff Welders at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Harland & Wolff Welders and 1.50 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Harland & Wolff Welders vs Ards FC?

Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harland & Wolff Welders vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Harland & Wolff Welders 46%, draw 27%, Ards FC 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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