Nafta 1-0 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 6 Sep 2025

Nafta
1-0 HT 0-0
Gorica
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Gorica
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Nafta Nafta 1-3 HT 0-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.08.2023 Gorica Gorica 3-4 HT 2-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
22.04.2022 Nafta Nafta 2-3 HT 0-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
01.12.2021 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1-0
AWAY Gorica
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta edged past Gorica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 57% of the ball to Gorica's 43%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Nafta and 2.50 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Gorica?

Nafta 1-0 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nafta 55%, draw 22%, Gorica 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
6 Sep 2025
18:00 Bistrica vs Krsko Analysis →
18:00 Tabor Sezana vs Jesenice Analysis →
18:00 Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija Analysis →
18:00 Bilje vs Dravinja Analysis →