Defensor Sporting vs Juventud Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Juventud — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Juventud Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Defensor Sporting
URU2
1-3
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
Defensor Sporting 1-0 Juventud — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting edged past Juventud 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 48% of the ball to Juventud's 52%, shots finished 13-5.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 2.00 for Juventud.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Juventud?
Defensor Sporting 1-0 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Juventud?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 45%, draw 29%, Juventud 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.