Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.04/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.07
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Danubio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 0.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
513 Passes 169
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Danubio Danubio 2-2 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
29.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.03.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
07.03.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio CON CSA
30.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
03.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-2
AWAY Danubio
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio saw off Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Danubio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 53% of the ball to Danubio's 47%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.00 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 40%, draw 27%, Danubio 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
6 Sep 2025
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