Danubio 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.3pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.19/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.99
-7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.35 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
169 Passes 513
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio CON CSA
30.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
03.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
29.04.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
10.09.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-3 Danubio Danubio URU
02.04.2022 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
0-2
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers saw off Danubio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Danubio had 59% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 41%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 1.00 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Danubio 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Danubio 40%, draw 31%, Montevideo Wanderers 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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