Cerro 1-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.97/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.26
-16% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
02.07.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
29.04.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
25.03.2021 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
08.10.2020 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
10.10.2019 Cerro Cerro 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Cerro Largo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 44% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 56%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cerro and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Cerro Largo?

Cerro 1-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cerro 37%, draw 28%, Cerro Largo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
24 Mar 2024
00:30 Nacional de Football vs Progreso Analysis →
03:00 Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting Analysis →
22:00 Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →