Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maldonado v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.11/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.53
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
23.04.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
16.10.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
29.05.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
19.03.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 2-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
20.09.2020 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 4-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU

Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-0
AWAY Defensor Sporting
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado squeezed past Defensor Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 43% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 57%, shots finished 3-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.33 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 31%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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