Nacional de Football 0-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

Nacional de Football
0-0 HT 0-0
Progreso
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Nacional de Football vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional de Football v Progreso — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.03/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.09
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +69%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.7

Nacional de Football vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Progreso
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.09.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-1 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
23.05.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
18.02.2021 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
27.08.2020 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 2-0 Progreso Progreso URU
10.11.2019 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU

Nacional de Football 0-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
0-0
AWAY Progreso
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football and Progreso played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 63% of the ball to Progreso's 37%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.60 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Progreso?

Nacional de Football 0-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 58%, draw 24%, Progreso 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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