Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.98
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.65
-93% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.0 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Danubio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
03.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
29.04.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
10.09.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-3 Danubio Danubio URU
02.04.2022 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
21.01.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Danubio
1.23 xG 0.35
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
513 Passes 169
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Danubio edged past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 away from home in the Copa Sudamericana on 7 Mar 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 70% of the ball to Danubio's 30%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.23 to 0.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.67 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 Danubio in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 35%, draw 30%, Danubio 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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