Deportivo Cuenca 2-5 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 33%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Delfin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 273
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
06.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4-0 HT 3-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
16.08.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
04.04.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
31.08.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-3 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
03.04.2021 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2-5
AWAY Delfin
1.56 xG 2.60
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
430 Passes 99
87% Pass Accuracy 56%
38 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin swept aside Deportivo Cuenca 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 74% of the ball to Delfin's 26%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.56 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin?

Deportivo Cuenca 2-5 Delfin in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 41%, draw 29%, Delfin 29%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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