Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.3
Crosses 10.1
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.07
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
193 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.10.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
17.04.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0-2
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.98 xG 1.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
314 Passes 173
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi got the better of Universitario de Vinto 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Nacional Potosi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 62% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 38%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.98 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.00 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional Potosi in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 38%, draw 24%, Nacional Potosi 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ BTTS Yes
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