Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+13.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-14.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-0D-4L
AWAY America de Cali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
241 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-3 HT 1-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
19.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
18.10.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-2 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
03.05.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
10.12.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
06.12.2021 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2-1
AWAY America de Cali
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
226 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera nicked a narrow win over America de Cali 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Alianza Petrolera made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali?

Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America de Cali in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 35%, draw 26%, America de Cali 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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