CD Everton 0-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Everton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Everton
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Union La Calera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
378 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2023 CD Everton CD Everton 1-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
28.01.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 3-2 HT 3-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
24.07.2022 CD Everton CD Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
26.02.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
14.11.2021 CD Everton CD Everton 1-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
09.08.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Everton
0-1
AWAY Union La Calera
0.66 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
306 Passes 141
72% Pass Accuracy 55%
25 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Everton vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over CD Everton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Everton at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Everton had 63% of the ball to Union La Calera's 37%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.66 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Everton and 1.67 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of CD Everton vs Union La Calera?

CD Everton 0-1 Union La Calera in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Everton vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Everton 46%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Everton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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