Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.19/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.23
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
476 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Danubio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
513 Passes 169
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
07.03.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio CON CSA
30.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
03.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
29.04.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
10.09.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-3 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Danubio
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Montevideo Wanderers and Danubio shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29 Sep 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 61% of the ball to Danubio's 39%, shots finished 12-8.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.83 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 38%, draw 25%, Danubio 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
16:00 CA River Plate vs Centro Atletico Fenix Analysis →
21:00 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River Analysis →
23:30 Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Analysis →