CA River Plate 4-3 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.97
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
16.03.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
16.11.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
08.04.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
20.08.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 1-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
20.03.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
4-3
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate nicked a narrow win over Centro Atletico Fenix 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day CA River Plate made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CA River Plate had 44% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 56%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA River Plate and 0.50 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

CA River Plate 4-3 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 38%, draw 29%, Centro Atletico Fenix 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA River Plate), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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