Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
Defensor Sporting 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting beat Deportivo Maldonado 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 40%, shots finished 8-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.83 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Defensor Sporting 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 45%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.