Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +2%
1.20/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.93
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
326 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
26.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
23.04.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
16.10.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
29.05.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
19.03.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 2-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0-2
AWAY Defensor Sporting
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting beat Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 47% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 53%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.67 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 31%, draw 26%, Defensor Sporting 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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