Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.13
No
69%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
43%
-11.3pp
69%
BTTS No
57%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.13/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.09
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
02.09.2023 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
18.02.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
01.10.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
08.05.2022 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
16.01.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-3 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and Danubio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.83 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Danubio?

Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 41%, draw 29%, Danubio 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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