Progreso vs CA River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v CA River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs CA River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
4-0
HT 3-0
Progreso
URU
3-2
HT 2-0
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URU
1-2
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 1-0 CA River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso edged past CA River Plate 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Progreso made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Progreso had 44% of the ball to CA River Plate's 56%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 2.00 for CA River Plate.
What was the final score of Progreso vs CA River Plate?
Progreso 1-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs CA River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Progreso 38%, draw 25%, CA River Plate 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.