CA River Plate vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
4-0
HT 3-0
Progreso
URU
3-2
HT 2-0
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URU
1-2
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
CA River Plate 2-2 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
CA River Plate and Progreso couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA River Plate had 58% of the ball to Progreso's 42%, shots finished 6-11.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA River Plate and 1.20 for Progreso.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Progreso?
CA River Plate 2-2 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated an Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 34%, draw 27%, Progreso 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.