Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.97/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-25% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-2
AWAY Miramar Misiones
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Miramar Misiones made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 51% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Miramar Misiones?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 40%, draw 28%, Miramar Misiones 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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