Nacional de Football 6-2 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.9pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.99/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.89
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
29.11.2019 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-3 HT 2-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
12.04.2015 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 3-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
06.10.2014 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-2 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
6-2
AWAY Rampla Juniors
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football cruised past Rampla Juniors 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 63% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 37%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.33 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Rampla Juniors?

Nacional de Football 6-2 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 58%, draw 23%, Rampla Juniors 19%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5
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