Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2 HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Centro Atletico Fenix v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.03
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.05.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
12.08.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.07.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
20.02.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-3 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
04.12.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 60% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 40%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.17 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 39%, draw 28%, Montevideo Wanderers 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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