Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.13/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
16.11.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
08.04.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
20.08.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 1-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
20.03.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
25.10.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix squeezed past CA River Plate 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Centro Atletico Fenix made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs CA River Plate?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 34%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
7 Jul 2024
18:30 Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →