Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-1
HT 2-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Progreso 3-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso squeezed past Racing Club Montevideo 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Progreso had 48% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 52%, shots finished 14-18.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Progreso and 2.00 for Racing Club Montevideo.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Progreso 3-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Progreso 30%, draw 27%, Racing Club Montevideo 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No went the other way.