Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-1
HT 2-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Progreso 4-3 Racing Club Montevideo — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso nicked a narrow win over Racing Club Montevideo 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Progreso made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 52% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 48%, shots finished 13-12.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Progreso and 1.50 for Racing Club Montevideo.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Progreso 4-3 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Progreso 38%, draw 29%, Racing Club Montevideo 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.