Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.81/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.06
+52% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
12.02.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
26.02.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
07.03.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
10.09.2020 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2
AWAY Danubio
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 62% of the ball to Danubio's 38%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.67 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Danubio?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 44%, draw 25%, Danubio 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
10 Mar 2024
01:30 CA Penarol vs Cerro Analysis →
22:30 Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →