Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Danubio v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
0-2
HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Danubio 2-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Danubio and Montevideo Wanderers shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Danubio had 53% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 9-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Danubio and 1.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Danubio 2-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Danubio 43%, draw 29%, Montevideo Wanderers 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.