Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Plaza Colonia v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Plaza Colonia 1-0 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Plaza Colonia found just enough to beat CA Penarol 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) landed.
On the day, Plaza Colonia had 37% of the ball to CA Penarol's 63%, shots finished 10-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Plaza Colonia and 0.83 for CA Penarol.
Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol Result & Final Score
Plaza Colonia 1 - 0 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 16%, draw 25%, CA Penarol 59%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.