Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plaza Colonia v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URUK
0-1
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
1-1
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
Plaza Colonia 1-0 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Plaza Colonia edged past CA Penarol 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Plaza Colonia had 37% of the ball to CA Penarol's 63%, shots finished 10-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Plaza Colonia and 0.83 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol?
Plaza Colonia 1-0 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 23%, draw 26%, CA Penarol 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.