Miramar Misiones 1-1 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / -4%
0.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.46
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Progreso
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-0 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
18.02.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-3 HT 0-2 Progreso Progreso URU
02.09.2023 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU2
14.05.2023 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-2 HT 1-2 Progreso Progreso URU2
23.07.2022 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-1
AWAY Progreso
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones and Progreso couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 50% of the ball to Progreso's 50%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.40 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Progreso?

Miramar Misiones 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 38%, draw 26%, Progreso 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miramar Misiones), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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