Farense vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Farense v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Farense edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.
Farense's home league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals; meanwhile, results have deserted Chaves on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Farense against 1.50 for Chaves.
Farense vs Chaves Kick-off Time
Farense play Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/09/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Farense vs Chaves Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Farense vs Chaves is a Farense win at about 43% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Farense 43%, draw 29%, Chaves 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.