Chaves vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 4-0
Chaves
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Farense
POR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Farense
PORLC
1-0
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
Chaves 1-1 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves and Farense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Chaves had 48% of the ball to Farense's 52%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.85 to 2.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chaves and 1.83 for Farense.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Farense?
Chaves 1-1 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chaves 40%, draw 29%, Farense 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chaves), BTTS No went the other way.