Estoril vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
Estoril 1-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril nicked a narrow win over Estrela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estoril as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Estoril had 60% of the ball to Estrela's 40%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.61 to 1.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Estrela.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Estrela?
Estoril 1-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estoril 43%, draw 29%, Estrela 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.