Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vizela v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Vizela
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Vizela
POR
3-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Vizela
POK
3-2
HT 1-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
4-0
HT 0-0
Vizela
POR
Vizela 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes nicked a narrow win over Vizela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Vizela had 52% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 48%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.36 to 1.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vitoria Guimaraes's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vizela and 2.17 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Vizela 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vizela 29%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.