Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.03
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
31%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.31
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
30.5
X/1
14%
3.41
X/2
5%
29.5
X/X
10%
10.4
2/1
10%
23.0
2/2
5%
22.15
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
79%
-13.2pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.6pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +21%
2.86/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.97
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
37.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
23.8 Crosses 10.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.39 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
463 Passes 329
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
29.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
13.11.2022 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
02.02.2022 Benfica Benfica 1-2 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.08.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
17.04.2021 Benfica Benfica 1-2 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
3-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.58 xG 0.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
478 Passes 391
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica cruised past Gil Vicente 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Benfica had 53% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 47%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.58 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Gil Vicente?

Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Benfica 66%, draw 20%, Gil Vicente 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
4 Feb 2024
18:30 Chaves vs Farense Analysis →
18:30 Vizela vs Vitoria Guimaraes Analysis →
21:00 Estoril vs Estrela Analysis →
23:30 Sporting Braga vs Moreirense Analysis →