Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.65
X/1
17%
3.52
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
15%
5.08
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
9.9
2/X
10%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.1pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.43/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.09
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +50%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
466 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 66%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
25.0 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
452 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
22.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.02.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 2-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
11.08.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
14.04.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-0
AWAY Shelbourne
1.14 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
432 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers got the better of Shelbourne 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 57% of the ball to Shelbourne's 43%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 45%, draw 32%, Shelbourne 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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