Lazio (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio (K) v Sassuolo (K) — Team-Based Signals
Lazio (K) 3-2 Sassuolo (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio (K) edged past Sassuolo (K) 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 18% / 41% — and on the day Lazio (K) made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lazio (K) had 62% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 38%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.91 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lazio (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?
Lazio (K) 3-2 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 41%, draw 18%, Sassuolo (K) 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.