Napoli (K) 0-1 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
59%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.3pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.7
Crosses 26.6
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 1.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
190 Passes 334
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 0
12.05.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
14.04.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-1
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.44 xG 1.48
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
127 Passes 388
55% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) squeezed past Napoli (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 31% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 69%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.44 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napoli (K) and 2.00 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-1 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 19%, draw 22%, AC Milan (K) 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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