Napoli (K) 1-1 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 12 May 2024

Napoli (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
AC Milan (K)
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.18
Over 2.5
40%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.3pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
42%
+18.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
58%
-18.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli (K) v AC Milan (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.2
– Crosses 27.5
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.92 xG 0.94
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
182 Passes 330
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.04.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA

Napoli (K) 1-1 AC Milan (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-1
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.33 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
198 Passes 337
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) and AC Milan (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AC Milan (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 40% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 60%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.33 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Napoli (K) 1-1 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 17%, draw 30%, AC Milan (K) 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AC Milan (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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