Como (K) 2-0 Pomigliano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pomigliano (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.33
+5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
Crosses 13.7
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.96 xG 2.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
289 Passes 212
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Pomigliano (K) 3-4 HT 2-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
2-0
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
1.35 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
404 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Pomigliano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) beat Pomigliano (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Como (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Como (K) had 61% of the ball to Pomigliano (K)'s 39%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.35 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Como (K) 2-0 Pomigliano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 51%, draw 25%, Pomigliano (K) 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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