Magdeburg 2-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.51
Over
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.45
2-3
37%
2.0
4-5
24%
2.67
6+
13%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.52
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.82
X/2
8%
7.73
X/X
14%
5.99
2/1
8%
20.75
2/2
20%
4.83
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.32/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.65
-20% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.7 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 259
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
09.12.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
18.03.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.09.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
27.04.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.11.2018 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-2 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
2-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
3.49 xG 1.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
458 Passes 266
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Greuther Fürth couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 61% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 39%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 3.49 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Magdeburg and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Greuther Fürth?

Magdeburg 2-2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 39%, draw 26%, Greuther Fürth 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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