Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 6 Oct 2024

Hoffenheim (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Werder Bremen (K)
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
18%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
18%
Away Win
26%
-7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
280 Passes 211
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB

Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-0
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.17 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
348 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) nicked a narrow win over Werder Bremen (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 51% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 49%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 54%, draw 28%, Werder Bremen (K) 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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