Instituto Cordoba 2-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.19
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.8
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
8%
7.31
X/X
19%
3.2
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.75
2/X
5%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.35/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.00
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
25.2 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-1D-2L
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.09 xG 2.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
285 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
4 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
05.03.2006 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
26.09.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.10.2004 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 2-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
2.61 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
205 Passes 251
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba got the better of San Lorenzo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Instituto Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 49% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 51%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.61 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.25 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Instituto Cordoba 2-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 41%, draw 34%, San Lorenzo 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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