Independiente 3-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.67
No
65%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.85
X/1
14%
3.32
X/2
8%
10.9
X/X
16%
3.84
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
10.85
2/X
6%
21.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
33%
+1.5pp
65%
BTTS No
67%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.34/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.29
-20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
25.1 Crosses 11.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.92
74% Ball Possession 26%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
401 Passes 78
83% Pass Accuracy 48%
30 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.36 xG 0.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
329 Passes 174
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente saw off Deportivo Riestra 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 40%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.36 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Independiente 3-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente 48%, draw 29%, Deportivo Riestra 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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