FC Liefering 0-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.11
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.31
X/2
8%
6.33
X/X
15%
5.39
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
17%
3.97
2/X
4%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.50/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.58
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
16.8 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.33 xG 2.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-5 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
06.08.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
16.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-4 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.02.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 2-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
03.07.2020 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-2 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
06.10.2019 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau squeezed past FC Liefering 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Austria Lustenau found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Liefering and 2.50 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Austria Lustenau?

FC Liefering 0-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 37%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
6 Oct 2024
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