Ried 2-4 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

Ried
2-4 HT 1-1
St. Pölten
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ried vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
22%
3.81
X/2
5%
10.05
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
8%
7.9
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.86/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.42
+41% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.2 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.8

Ried vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 365
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.05.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-4 HT 0-3 Ried Ried AU2
29.10.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.04.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
24.04.2021 Ried Ried 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
14.02.2021 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
31.10.2020 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU

Ried 2-4 St. Pölten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
2-4
AWAY St. Pölten
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ried vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten got the better of Ried 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Ried carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ried had 52% of the ball to St. Pölten's 48%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ried and 1.17 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Ried vs St. Pölten?

Ried 2-4 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ried 58%, draw 23%, St. Pölten 19%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✗ BTTS No
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